By Wayne William Cipriano
In 2007, as what will come to be known in the fullness of time as the worst presidential administration in the history of the United States of America drew to a close, it did not take a political genius to understand that the next president would be a Democrat.
While there was a great deal of speculation as to who would carry the Republican nomination for President and serve as a sacrificial lamb to the concept of two-party government, there was little doubt who would win the Democrat nomination.
Like everyone in the United States except Michelle Obama, I was certain the Democrat candidate and thus the next president would be Hillary Clinton.
Listening to Mrs. Clinton’s speeches and interviews, reading what she wrote and what was written about her I came to understand that one of her political heroes was Franklin Roosevelt who has always seemed to me to be a pragmatic, conservative, social reformer.
Considering the state of the country at the end of Bush, the younger’s administration, the potential of a sweeping Democrat victory at the national level, Mrs. Clinton’s inevitable win as president, her previous unsuccessful sojourns into social reform, and her reverence for Roosevelt (perhaps Eleanor more than Franklin), I was pleased in my expectation that some of the lingering social ills and injustices would be addressed by an administration that would roll into office with all the political capital required.
I was so sure of Mrs. Clinton’s victory that I toyed with the idea of communicating with her to remind her of the terrible waste of eight years her husband suffered made even worse by his spectacular potential, and how easily she could rectify that tragedy.
Like you, I was not surprised, I was stunned by the nomination victory and then general election triumph of a little-known community politician and newly elected United States Senator who had accomplished almost nothing in that role with a name like Barack Hussein Obama, who was a bi-racial man to beat. I can clearly remember saying to a good friend at the bank, who placed herself solidly in the Obama camp, that “a man who looks black cannot be elected president in the United States of America today”.
The Chinese bless the lives of each other by wishing that they live in interesting times. If you follow politics at all, our political history at the national level from the single four-year stint of Bush The Elder, through Clinton’s raucous eight years, Bush The Younger’s horrific time in office, and the election of Obama can have you do nothing other than shake your head slowly in awe. As Yakov Smirnoff never tires of saying, “What a country!”
It is with the amazing backdrop of the vagaries of our political history and my personal record of predicting presidential winners that I now make my guesses as to who will win the party nominations for president and vice-president. Before you read on, take a moment and make your own guesses –– not who you would like to be the ones, but who will fill these four top spots and which pair will win the contest in November.
I assume that there will be only two parties with a real chance to take the election. And while all of us might want another situation, that is how it is.
Party politics is not necessarily a bad thing and the idea of “throwing away your vote” when casting it for a minor party’s candidate is an interesting concept that I would like to explore in the future. The reality is there will be only two viable candidates for president, each bringing along their choice for vice president.
I understand that I am making my predictions about two years in advance when thirty minutes in politics can have a cataclysmic effect on a candidate’s chances. Nevertheless, in spite of varying political fortunes and one hot prospective candidate after another popping up, glowing, then fading away, at least in the Republican Party so far, I believe the Republican candidate for president will be Chris Christy and his vice-presidential running mate will be Marco Rubio.
Once again I am swept away by the “inevitability” of Hillary Clinton winning the Democrat nomination and her running mate will be one of the Castro brothers – since they are twins in much more than the biological sense, it matters little which is chosen.
And the winner of the next president election will be Hillary Clinton.
Having gone this far I will also predict a general democrat victory for Congress, greater in the House of Representatives than in the Senate but still significant.
So, there are my guesses for the future. No necessarily my “druthers,” but my best estimates made two years in advance when there actually may be some doubts.
What do you say?